Catalan independence poll

The proposed independence referendum in Catalonia, which everyone knows won’t happen, will have two questions. The first is: Do you want Catalonia to be a State? If you answer yes to that, you can go on to the second question: Do you want that State to be independent?

The nonsense, terminological and methodological, of this procedure need not concern us here; I mention it to explain the nature of the poll below. What I want to do is to point out that despite what is sometimes said about support for independence, polls that are not managed by the Generalitat (Catalan government) consistently fail to show a majority for independence. A month ago one showed 35% and one published today (Spanish link) shows these figures.

	STATE	INDEPENDENT STATE
Yes	48.1	40.7
No	24.4	28.2
No opinion	27.5	31.0

These figures refer to all of Catalonia. I have not seen any breakdown by provinces or cities but figures for Barcelona province would certainly be lower than the average. It is hard to see how any independence movement could be successful without the support of the capital.